Troy
W-L: (40-31) PR = 96.2236Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Mercer SO (13- 8, 95.3) 3- 4 214 A Mercer SO (13- 8, 95.3) 5-17 214 A Mercer SO (13- 8, 95.3) 19- 3 217 H Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 7- 7 220 A Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 13- 4 222 H Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 8- 4 225 A Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 6- 5 227 H Western Carolina SO ( 4-10, 93.3) 3- 4 228 A East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 2- 5 301 A Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 2- 1 304 H Delaware CUSA (20-30, 92.1) 1- 3 306 A Grand Canyon MW (11-16, 93.1) 5- 0 307 H Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 3- 9 308 H Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 6- 7 310 A Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 3- 7 313 H Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 8-10 314 H Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 13- 4 315 H Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 9- 4 317 A Alabama State SWAC ( 8- 9, 91.8) 11- 2 320 A Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 6- 5 321 H Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 5-12 322 A Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 4- 5 324 H Samford SO ( 9-10, 94.7) 2- 7 325 A Florida A&M SWAC ( 7- 5, 90.7) 7- 4 327 A Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 3- 4 328 A Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 0-10 329 A Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 11- 5 331 H Alabama State SWAC ( 8- 9, 91.8) 14- 2 402 H Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 6- 4 403 H Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 4- 6 404 H Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 6- 4 408 A Monmouth CA (31-23, 93.1) 12-10 410 H Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 5- 3 411 A Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 15- 2 411 A Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 12-11 414 A New Orleans SL ( 6-10, 93.8) 10-11 417 H Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 7- 6 418 H Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 6- 7 419 H Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 15-11 421 H Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 4- 5 424 A Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 4- 7 425 A Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 8- 2 426 A Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 1- 0 428 A Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 1-11 502 H App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 7-13 502 H App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 0- 5 503 H App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 10- 3 505 H Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 6- 1 508 H South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 1-12 509 H South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 10- 5 510 H South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 8- 1 512 A UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 14- 5 514 H Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 6- 8 515 H Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 2- 5 516 A UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 13- 3 521 H South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 11- 3 522 A Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 6- 7 523 H South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 11-10 523 A Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 9- 6 524 A Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 2- 6 529 A Miami of Florida ACC (18-13, 95.6) 5-10 530 H Rider MAAC ( 9- 9, 94.3) 15- 7 530 H Rider MAAC ( 9- 9, 94.3) 15- 7 531 H Miami of Florida ACC (18-13, 95.6) 9- 6 531 H Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 16-11 601 A Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 10- 2 605 H Little Rock OV (16-12, 93.9) 12- 2 606 A Little Rock OV (16-12, 93.9) 7- 2 612 A West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 5- 7 612 A West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 5- 7 614 A Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 12- 8 616 H West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 0-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Mercer 3- 4 -1 0 -1.20
214 A Mercer 5-17 -12 0 --- -12.20
214 A Mercer 19- 3 16 0 +++ 13.80
217 H Wake Forest 7- 7 0 0 0.37
220 A Cal State Fullerton 13- 4 9 2 +++ 7.16
222 H Campbell 8- 4 4 2 + 2.46
225 A Georgia 6- 5 1 -3 ++ 4.40
227 H Western Carolina 3- 4 -1 4 -- -4.59
228 A East Carolina 2- 5 -3 -1 -1.81
301 A Rutgers 2- 1 1 2 -0.65
304 H Delaware 1- 3 -2 5 --- -6.76
306 A Grand Canyon 5- 0 5 2 + 2.54
307 H Maryland 3- 9 -6 2 --- -8.11
308 H Maryland 6- 7 -1 2 - -3.11
310 A Alabama 3- 7 -4 -2 - -2.47
313 H Old Dominion 8-10 -2 4 -- -5.59
314 H Old Dominion 13- 4 9 4 ++ 5.41
315 H Old Dominion 9- 4 5 4 1.41
317 A Alabama State 11- 2 9 4 ++ 5.22
320 A Southern Miss 6- 5 1 -1 + 2.08
321 H Florida International 5-12 -7 4 --- -11.12
322 A Southern Miss 4- 5 -1 -1 0.08
324 H Samford 2- 7 -5 2 --- -7.15
325 A Florida A&M 7- 4 3 5 -1.85
327 A Georgia Southern 3- 4 -1 4 -- -4.64
328 A Georgia Southern 0-10 -10 4 --- -13.64
329 A Georgia Southern 11- 5 6 4 + 2.36
331 H Alabama State 14- 2 12 5 +++ 6.87
402 H Arkansas State 6- 4 2 1 0.62
403 H Arkansas State 4- 6 -2 1 - -3.38
404 H Arkansas State 6- 4 2 1 0.62
408 A Monmouth 12-10 2 2 -0.47
410 H Austin Peay 5- 3 2 4 - -2.14
411 A Texas State 15- 2 13 1 +++ 12.47
411 A Texas State 12-11 1 1 0.47
414 A New Orleans 10-11 -1 2 - -2.72
417 H Louisiana 7- 6 1 2 -0.82
418 H Louisiana 6- 7 -1 2 - -2.82
419 H Louisiana 15-11 4 2 + 2.18
421 H Jacksonville State 4- 5 -1 0 -0.82
424 A Marshall 4- 7 -3 2 -- -5.08
425 A Marshall 8- 2 6 2 + 3.92
428 A Georgia 1-11 -10 -3 --- -6.60
502 H App State 7-13 -6 2 --- -7.72
502 H App State 0- 5 -5 2 --- -6.72
503 H App State 10- 3 7 2 ++ 5.28
505 H Alabama 6- 1 5 0 ++ 5.18
508 H South Alabama 1-12 -11 2 --- -12.70
509 H South Alabama 10- 5 5 2 + 3.30
510 H South Alabama 8- 1 7 2 ++ 5.30
512 A UAB 14- 5 9 1 +++ 8.33
514 H Middle Tennessee 6- 8 -2 3 -- -5.47
515 H Central Arkansas 2- 5 -3 4 --- -7.19
516 A UL Monroe 13- 3 10 1 +++ 9.07
521 H South Alabama 11- 3 8 2 +++ 6.30
522 A Southern Miss 6- 7 -1 -1 0.08
523 H South Alabama 11-10 1 2 -0.70
523 A Southern Miss 9- 6 3 -1 ++ 4.08
524 A Southern Miss 2- 6 -4 -1 - -2.92
529 A Miami of Florida 5-10 -5 0 -- -4.90
530 H Rider 15- 7 8 3 ++ 5.45
530 H Rider 15- 7 8 3 ++ 5.45
531 H Miami of Florida 9- 6 3 1 1.75
531 H Florida 16-11 5 -1 +++ 6.37
601 A Florida 10- 2 8 -3 +++ 10.72
605 H Little Rock 12- 2 10 3 +++ 7.04
606 A Little Rock 7- 2 5 2 + 3.39
612 A West Virginia 5- 7 -2 -3 0.60
612 A West Virginia 5- 7 -2 -3 0.60
614 A Ole Miss 12- 8 4 -2 +++ 6.12
616 H West Virginia 0-12 -12 -1 --- -10.75
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 A Mercer 5-17 -12 0 --- -12.20 304 H Delaware 1- 3 -2 5 --- -6.76 307 H Maryland 3- 9 -6 2 --- -8.11 321 H Florida International 5-12 -7 4 --- -11.12 324 H Samford 2- 7 -5 2 --- -7.15 328 A Georgia Southern 0-10 -10 4 --- -13.64 428 A Georgia 1-11 -10 -3 --- -6.60 502 H App State 7-13 -6 2 --- -7.72 502 H App State 0- 5 -5 2 --- -6.72 508 H South Alabama 1-12 -11 2 --- -12.70 515 H Central Arkansas 2- 5 -3 4 --- -7.19 616 H West Virginia 0-12 -12 -1 --- -10.75 227 H Western Carolina 3- 4 -1 4 -- -4.59 313 H Old Dominion 8-10 -2 4 -- -5.59 327 A Georgia Southern 3- 4 -1 4 -- -4.64 424 A Marshall 4- 7 -3 2 -- -5.08 514 H Middle Tennessee 6- 8 -2 3 -- -5.47 529 A Miami of Florida 5-10 -5 0 -- -4.90 308 H Maryland 6- 7 -1 2 - -3.11 310 A Alabama 3- 7 -4 -2 - -2.47 403 H Arkansas State 4- 6 -2 1 - -3.38 410 H Austin Peay 5- 3 2 4 - -2.14 414 A New Orleans 10-11 -1 2 - -2.72 418 H Louisiana 6- 7 -1 2 - -2.82 524 A Southern Miss 2- 6 -4 -1 - -2.92 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 A Mercer 19- 3 16 0 +++ 13.80 220 A Cal State Fullerton 13- 4 9 2 +++ 7.16 331 H Alabama State 14- 2 12 5 +++ 6.87 411 A Texas State 15- 2 13 1 +++ 12.47 512 A UAB 14- 5 9 1 +++ 8.33 516 A UL Monroe 13- 3 10 1 +++ 9.07 521 H South Alabama 11- 3 8 2 +++ 6.30 531 H Florida 16-11 5 -1 +++ 6.37 601 A Florida 10- 2 8 -3 +++ 10.72 605 H Little Rock 12- 2 10 3 +++ 7.04 614 A Ole Miss 12- 8 4 -2 +++ 6.12 225 A Georgia 6- 5 1 -3 ++ 4.40 314 H Old Dominion 13- 4 9 4 ++ 5.41 317 A Alabama State 11- 2 9 4 ++ 5.22 503 H App State 10- 3 7 2 ++ 5.28 505 H Alabama 6- 1 5 0 ++ 5.18 510 H South Alabama 8- 1 7 2 ++ 5.30 523 A Southern Miss 9- 6 3 -1 ++ 4.08 530 H Rider 15- 7 8 3 ++ 5.45 530 H Rider 15- 7 8 3 ++ 5.45 222 H Campbell 8- 4 4 2 + 2.46 306 A Grand Canyon 5- 0 5 2 + 2.54 320 A Southern Miss 6- 5 1 -1 + 2.08 329 A Georgia Southern 11- 5 6 4 + 2.36 419 H Louisiana 15-11 4 2 + 2.18 425 A Marshall 8- 2 6 2 + 3.92 509 H South Alabama 10- 5 5 2 + 3.30 606 A Little Rock 7- 2 5 2 + 3.39 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Mercer (13- 8, 95.3) 3- 4 -4.55 13.87 0.68 0.40 -0.78
3 A Mercer (13- 8, 95.3) 5-17 -4.55 13.87 0.68 0.40 -0.78
3 A Mercer (13- 8, 95.3) 19- 3 -4.55 13.87 0.68 0.40 11.69
3 H Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 7- 7 -2.63 15.79 -0.68 0.40 0.00
3 A Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 13- 4 -6.19 12.23 0.68 0.40 10.37
3 H Campbell (40-17, 95.4) 8- 4 -4.54 13.89 -0.68 0.40 10.61
3 A Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 6- 5 -0.95 17.47 0.68 0.40 14.58
3 H Western Caroli ( 4-10, 93.3) 3- 4 -6.59 11.84 -0.68 0.40 -1.46
3 A East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 2- 5 -3.16 15.26 0.68 0.40 -0.50
3 A Rutgers (25-31, 93.9) 2- 1 -6.01 12.42 0.68 0.40 10.52
3 H Delaware (20-30, 92.1) 1- 3 -7.76 10.67 -0.68 0.40 -1.69
3 A Grand Canyon (11-16, 93.1) 5- 0 -6.81 11.62 0.68 0.40 9.88
3 H Maryland (27-28, 94.8) 3- 9 -5.11 13.31 -0.68 0.40 -1.16
3 H Maryland (27-28, 94.8) 6- 7 -5.11 13.31 -0.68 0.40 -1.16
3 A Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 3- 7 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.40 -0.43
3 H Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 8-10 -6.59 11.84 -0.68 0.40 -1.46
3 H Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 13- 4 -6.59 11.84 -0.68 0.40 8.97
3 H Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 9- 4 -6.59 11.84 -0.68 0.40 8.97
3 A Alabama State ( 8- 9, 91.8) 11- 2 -8.13 10.30 0.68 0.40 8.81
3 A Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 6- 5 -3.27 15.15 0.68 0.40 12.72
3 H Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 5-12 -7.12 11.31 -0.68 0.40 -1.57
3 A Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 4- 5 -3.27 15.15 0.68 0.40 -0.52
3 H Samford ( 9-10, 94.7) 2- 7 -5.15 13.27 -0.68 0.40 -1.17
3 A Florida A&M ( 7- 5, 90.7) 7- 4 -9.20 9.23 0.68 0.40 7.95
3 A Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 3- 4 -7.99 10.43 0.68 0.40 -1.47
3 A Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 0-10 -7.99 10.43 0.68 0.40 -1.47
3 A Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 11- 5 -7.99 10.43 0.68 0.40 8.93
3 H Alabama State ( 8- 9, 91.8) 14- 2 -8.13 10.30 -0.68 0.40 7.73
3 H Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 6- 4 -4.38 14.05 -0.68 0.40 10.74
3 H Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 4- 6 -4.38 14.05 -0.68 0.40 -1.01
3 H Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 6- 4 -4.38 14.05 -0.68 0.40 10.74
3 A Monmouth (31-23, 93.1) 12-10 -6.82 11.60 0.68 0.40 9.87
3 H Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 5- 3 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.40 8.52
3 A Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 15- 2 -4.88 13.54 0.68 0.40 11.42
3 A Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 12-11 -4.88 13.54 0.68 0.40 11.42
3 A New Orleans ( 6-10, 93.8) 10-11 -6.07 12.36 0.68 0.40 -1.08
3 H Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 7- 6 -4.82 13.61 -0.68 0.40 10.39
3 H Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 6- 7 -4.82 13.61 -0.68 0.40 -1.10
3 H Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 15-11 -4.82 13.61 -0.68 0.40 10.39
3 H Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 4- 5 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.40 -0.70
3 A Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 4- 7 -6.44 11.99 0.68 0.40 -1.16
3 A Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 8- 2 -6.44 11.99 0.68 0.40 10.18
3 A Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 1- 0 -6.44 11.99 0.68 0.40 10.18
3 A Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 1-11 -0.95 17.47 0.68 0.40 -0.06
3 H App State (31-23, 95.2) 7-13 -4.72 13.70 -0.68 0.40 -1.08
3 H App State (31-23, 95.2) 0- 5 -4.72 13.70 -0.68 0.40 -1.08
3 H App State (31-23, 95.2) 10- 3 -4.72 13.70 -0.68 0.40 10.47
3 H Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 6- 1 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.40 11.99
3 H South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 1-12 -4.71 13.72 -0.68 0.40 -1.08
3 H South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 10- 5 -4.71 13.72 -0.68 0.40 10.48
3 H South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 8- 1 -4.71 13.72 -0.68 0.40 10.48
3 A UAB (31-27, 94.9) 14- 5 -5.02 13.40 0.68 0.40 11.31
3 H Middle Tenness (27-30, 93.4) 6- 8 -6.47 11.96 -0.68 0.40 -1.43
3 H Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 2- 5 -7.19 11.24 -0.68 0.40 -1.58
3 A UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 13- 3 -5.28 13.14 0.68 0.40 11.10
3 H South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 11- 3 -4.71 13.72 -0.68 0.40 10.48
3 A Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 6- 7 -3.27 15.15 0.68 0.40 -0.52
3 H South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 11-10 -4.71 13.72 -0.68 0.40 10.48
3 A Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 9- 6 -3.27 15.15 0.68 0.40 12.72
3 A Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 2- 6 -3.27 15.15 0.68 0.40 -0.52
3 A Miami of Flori (18-13, 95.6) 5-10 -4.25 14.17 0.68 0.40 -0.72
3 H Rider ( 9- 9, 94.3) 15- 7 -5.56 12.87 -0.68 0.40 9.80
3 H Rider ( 9- 9, 94.3) 15- 7 -5.56 12.87 -0.68 0.40 9.80
3 H Miami of Flori (18-13, 95.6) 9- 6 -4.25 14.17 -0.68 0.40 10.84
3 H Florida (43-21, 98.3) 16-11 -1.63 16.79 -0.68 0.40 12.95
3 A Florida (43-21, 98.3) 10- 2 -1.63 16.79 0.68 0.40 14.03
3 H Little Rock (16-12, 93.9) 12- 2 -5.97 12.46 -0.68 0.40 9.47
3 A Little Rock (16-12, 93.9) 7- 2 -5.97 12.46 0.68 0.40 10.55
3 A West Virginia (47-18, 98.1) 5- 7 -1.75 16.68 0.68 0.40 -0.22
3 A West Virginia (47-18, 98.1) 5- 7 -1.75 16.68 0.68 0.40 -0.22
3 A Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 12- 8 -2.23 16.20 0.68 0.40 13.55
3 H West Virginia (47-18, 98.1) 0-12 -1.75 16.68 -0.68 0.40 -0.49
------
396.39
|
winning pts = 426.0732 losing points = -29.6831
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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